Iron Ore DCE May24 Daily Technical Review 07/03/24

Verdict- Neutral. DCE May24 contract traded in smaller range as expected. The high of 896.0 created an intra-day resistance for next session. Iron ore in general moved within the 860.5 – 905.0 rangebox as mentioned in early of the week. Hourly slow stochastic KD potentially create dead cross below oversold area. Hourly CCI reached bullish …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 07/03/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • ADP report said that US private sector employment rate increased by 140,000 jobs in February, created the biggest increase since December 2023. Annual pay up 5.1% on the year. • CPAG Statistics: In February, the global manufacturing PMI was 49.1%. Although it decreased by 0.2% month on month, …

Iron Ore DCE May24 Daily Technical Review 06/03/24

Verdict- Neutral. DCE May24 contract traded in smaller range as expected. From hourly chart, the support was clearly at 860.5, which was the lower bound of the rangebox. However the high of rangebox decreased from 905.0 to 895.5 and 885.5 gradually. The good news is that hourly MACD created gold cross, along with CCI left …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 06/03/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • China Government Report set target in 2024: GDP growth target 5%, 12 million new urban jobs, unemployment rate 5.5%, consumer price increase of about 3%, grain output 6500 billion tons, energy consumption per unit reduced by 2.5%, and improve the quality of the ecological environment. • China government …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 05/03/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • Fed governor Rafeal Bostic said that inflation is expected to “slowly” return to the 2% target. Thus it would be appropriate for the Fed to cut interest rates twice by 25 basis points before the end of this year. • China government work report indicated the GDP growth …

Iron Ore DCE May24 Daily Technical Review 04/03/24

Verdict- Neutral. DCE May24 contract broke last low at 865.0 as expected, however recovered all losses fast and closed high. The return of buyers generally mean the support should be robust at 860.5 -865.0 area. Hourly CCI returned from bearish territory to neutral area. Hourly slow stochastic KD created gold cross in oversold area. Hourly …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 04/03/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • Several OPEC+ countries extend output cuts through Q2, as Russia announces new reductions.   Iron Ore Key Indicators: • Platts62 $115.40, -1.70, MTD $115.40. There were some seaborne trade during late half of last week after the two extreme quiet weeks after Chinese New Year. The market was …

Iron Ore DCE May24 Daily Technical Review 01/03/24

Verdict- Neutral to Bearish. DCE May24 contract moved in narrow range during most time of day, however tanked during last half hour, which resulted in a dead cross from hourly MACD, slow stochastic KD and a sharp drop on CCI to bearish territory. The last half hour drop attracted increasing volume. Iron ore will test …

Daily Virtual Steel Mill Report 01/03/24

Verdict: • Short-run Neutral.   Macro: • According to China National Bureau of Statistics, China produced 1.019 billion tons of crude steels in 2023, unchanged from 2022. China produced 1.36 billion tons of finished steels, up 5.2% on the year. China produced 4.71 billion tons of coals, up 3.0% on the year. • One of …