China construction in the bubble, iron ore demand risk remains

Ferrous Sector Money Flow: DCE iron ore aggregated open interest is up 38.97% from April 29th and reached the highest level in Q2, coking coal decreased by 18.55% during the same period. Steel, coke and flat glass used in house construction remained stable on open interest. Investors should be aware of money flow out of …

Commodities Bounce Back on Chinese Stimulus Anticipation and Vaccine Hopes

Freight prices jumped on Monday with front month Capesize futures up over 10% on anticipation of a large stimulus package out of China later this week. This created a knock-on effect into the smaller vessels with the Panamax front month futures up over 5%. Oil futures performed well with a USD 3.00 move higher, as …

Steel on the march as Brazil supply, port stocks fall

Iron ore futures soared on Monday on supply-side concerns as major producer Brazil becomes a global hotspot for coronavirus. The country has now close to a quarter of a million cases, the four largest total case count, and a death of over 16,000. According to shipping activity models by Westpac, supply from Brazil has fallen …

China Home-Price Growth Accelerates in Property Market Boost

China’s house-price growth accelerated in April as the central bank’s credit easing gave the property market a much-needed lift out of the coronavirus shutdown. * New-home prices in 70 major cities, excluding state-subsidized housing, gained 0.42% in April, National Bureau of Statistics data released Monday showed. That’s up from a 0.13% increase in March. * …

China’s Industrial Economy Improves While Consumers Remain Wary

China’s industrial output increased in April for the first time since the coronavirus outbreak, adding to early signs of a recovery that economists cautioned would be slow and challenging. Industrial output rose 3.9% from a year earlier, reversing a drop of 1.1% in March, data showed Friday. Fixed-asset investment decreased 10.3% in the first four …

Recovery Quickens as PBOC Vows Support

Recovery Quickens as PBOC Vows Support Chinese industrial commodities began the week on the front foot after the central bank pledged more powerful policies to combat the coronavirus’s hammer blow to growth. The evidence of the past few days, from shrinking crude and metals stockpiles, to the rebound in car sales and usage, suggest that …