Morning Steel and Scrap Report 11/5/21

Good Morning,

 

FOB China HRC

 

The index jumped by $64/t on Monday (10.5.21) to US$1014/t, MTD US$946.17/t.

 

Shanghai mainstream HRC ex-warehouse prices rose by Yn560/t to Yn6,620/t yesterday on heated market sentiment and active trade. Chinese mills are active in pushing up their export offers to follow the domestic price trend. Three major Chinese mills hiked offers to $1,040-1,080/t fob China for SS400 HRC. Another large Chinese mill was mulling to sell SS400 HRC at around $1,000/t fob China, but it may re-consider lifting prices further amid the fast-rising trend, participants said. Most seaborne buyers were shocked by Chinese offers, keeping silent without any bids.

 

HRC prices in Vietnam market witnessed a similar upward trend. Indian SAE 1006 grade coil was reported to have been sold around at $1,035/t cfr Vietnam last week. Offers kept rising to $1,045-1,104/t cfr Vietnam for coils from China and India. Vietnam-based Formosa Ha Tinh was heard to be mulling to increase offers to follow the upward trend. (Argus)

 

Turkish Scrap

 

US sellers hold back from offering as Baltic sellers target above $500/mt CFR

Turkish scrap-iron ore ratio hits all-time low of 2.18

 

Turkish Deepsea import ferrous scrap prices continued to climb sharply, reaching a fresh 2021 high, as buyers raised workable levels amid a bullish Chinese market, sources said. S&P Global Platts assessed Turkish imports of premium heavy melting scrap 1/2 (80:20) May 10 at $500/mt CFR, up $10/mt on day.

 

The index is now at its highest level since Jan. 17, 2011, when it was at $504/mt CFR. The Platts index record high was at $510/mt CFR on Jan. 10, 2011. “These prices are high [$500/mt CFR] but look workable – iron ore is crazy now,” one Turkish mill source said. Platts assessed the 62% Fe Iron Ore Index at a record high of $229.55/dry mt CFR North China on May 10, up $16.80/dmt from May 7.

 

A second Turkish mill source also cited an indicative tradable value at $500/mt CFR for premium HMS 1/2 (80:20). A third mill source cited Baltic-origin offers for HMS 1/2 (80:20) at $500/mt CFR minimum and $503-$505/mt CFR. EU-origin offers were also cited at $500/mt CFR and above. (Platts)

 

US HRC

 

The S&P Global Platts TSI US hot-rolled coil index was calculated at $1,514.50/st EXW Indiana May 10, up $13 from May 7.

 

A buyer was offered 750 st at $1,510 and said he would most likely take the price. A mini-mill noted recent sales were at $1,500-$1,540 for their limited June availability. Another deal was concluded at the high-water mark of $1,600 for 550 st from an integrated mill but the deal fell outside Platts methodology to be in the volume-weighted average.

 

An offer at $1,550 for 120 st was not included in the index as the buyer was unable to secure the customer’s order with that price and did not place the order. (Platts)

 

 

Indices Price Change MTD
Platts TSI HMS 1/2 80:20 CFR Turkey ($/mt) 500.00 10.00 479.15
Steel Rebar FOB Turkey ($/mt) 715.00 15.00 691.50
Argus HRC NW Europe (€/mt) 1049.50 -0.25 1043.60
Argus FOB China HRC ($/mt) 1014.00 64.00 946.17
LME HRC FOB TIANJIN CHINA USD/mt LME HMS 80:20 CFR TK
Bid Ask Value Bid Ask Value
May-21 995 1005 1000 May-21 525 535 530
Jun-21 1025 1035 1030 Jun-21 555 565 560
Jul-21 1020 1030 1025 Jul-21 555 565 560
Aug-21 1015 1025 1020 Aug-21 550 560 555
Q3-21 1000 1010 1005 Q3-21 550 560 520
Q4-21 918 928 923 Q4-21 515 525 520
LME REBAR FOB TK BUSHELING
Bid Ask Value Bid Ask Value
May-21 745 755 750 Jun-21 620 630 625
Jun-21 805 815 810 Jul-21 655 665 660
Jul-21 795 805 800 Aug-21 685 695 690
Aug-21 790 800 795 Sep-21 680 690 685
Q3-21 788 798 793 Q3-21 680 690 685
Q4-21 742 752 747 Q4-21 665 675 670
US HRC USD/short ton NWE HRC EUR/metric ton
Bid Ask Value Bid Ask Value
May-21 1514 1524 1519 May-21 1077 1087 1082
Jun-21 1625 1635 1630 Jun-21 1107 1117 1112
Jul-21 1638 1648 1643 Jul-21 1057 1067 1062
Aug-21 1629 1639 1634 Aug-21 1025 1035 1030
Q3-21 1624 1634 1629 Q3-21 1027 1037 1032
Q4-21 1475 1485 1480 Q4-21 943 953 948

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